YOUR PROFITS, OUR IDEAS

Mcx Free Tips provides you with the best mcx Intraday free tips in Indian commodity market.

MCX Commodity Services

Lost Money In Commodity Market? Don;t Panic, Come Join With Us to recover all your Commodity Market Losses.

MCX Gold and Silver Tips

This service pack is specially designed for traders, who are trading in MCX Bullion(Gold , silver) i.e. all the commodity bullion. Under this package the service would be provided via mobile by sms during the market hours. On an average 60-70 Calls would be given per month.

MCX ENERGY TIPS

This service pack is specially designed for traders, who are trading in MCX ENERGY (CRUDE OIL AND NATURAL GAS) i.e. all the ENERGY SCRIPS . Under this package the service would be provided via mobile by sms during the market hours. On an average 40-50 Calls would be given per month.

Showing posts with label Energy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Energy. Show all posts

6 Aug 2014

Venezuela Says It Wants $10 Billion for Citgo Oil Assets

mcx tips

                   Petroleos de Venezuela SA, the Latin American nation’s state-owned crude producer, said the U.S. oil refining and marketing assets it’s seeking to sell are worth more than $10 billion.
“Their value is much, much more,” Rafael Ramirez, president of the oil producer known as PDVSA, told reporters yesterday. The company is receiving offers for assets of Houston-based Citgo Petroleum Corp., he said, without providing details of the value of the bids received.
PDVSA is seeking to sell Citgo assets, the U.S. unit said in a July 29 bond prospectus document. The company owns three refineries capable of handling about 749,000 barrels a day in Louisiana, Texas and Illinois, and sells gasoline through about 6,000 stations.
“We are not a refining company, we’re an oil producing company,” Ramirez said at an event marking 100 years of Venezuelan oil production in the western Zulia state.
Venezuela President Nicolas Maduro is seeking to sell foreign refineries to boost oil exports to China, raise cash and reduce the risk of having assets seized if it loses international lawsuits brought by former oil partners, GlobalSource Partners’ Ruth de Krivoy and Tamara Herrera said July 31 in an e-mailed report to clients.
“Our situation is not like many analysts have said, claiming that we need fiscal revenues,” Ramirez said. “We are doing well with our fiscal revenues from the oil sector.”

Contract Disputes

Contract disputes and expropriations have been filed at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes and the International Chamber of Commerce’s Court of Arbitration by mining and oil companies that operated in the country including Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM), Gold Reserve Inc., Phillips 66 and ConocoPhillips.
“With takeovers of Exxon and ConocoPhillips upgraders, these assets could be potentially taken to satisfy an arbitration ruling against them,”Andy Lipow, president of Houston-based Lipow Oil Associates LLC energy consulting firm, said in a phone interview.
Venezuela is Latin America’s biggest oil exporter, shipping 1.8 million barrels a day in 2013, according to the BP Statistical Review of World Energy.
Maduro has spent revenue from exports on social programs created by predecessor Hugo Chavez and debt repayments, pushing the country’s public sector deficit to 12.3 percent of gross domestic product last year, according to Barclays Plc.
Citgo had sales of $42.3 billion last year and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of $1.8 billion, according to the bond prospectus. - Bloomberg

5 Aug 2014

WTI Trades Near 3-Day High Before U.S. Supply Data; Brent Steady

mcx crude news

                      West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the highest price in three days before supply data that will signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent in London was steady.
Futures were little changed in New York after snapping a five-day losing streak yesterday. Gasoline stockpiles probably fell for the first time since June last week, according to a Bloomberg News survey before a government report tomorrow. Kurdish fighters in Iraq retook northern border towns seized by militants from Islamic State, a breakaway al-Qaeda group, the Kurdistan Democratic Party said on its website.
“It’s been a good driving season,” David Lennox, a resource analyst at Fat Prophets in Sydney, said by phone, referring to the summer period of peak fuel demand. “There is quite a sound floor below the price at the moment.”
WTI for September delivery was at $98.38 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 9 cents, at 2:45 p.m. Sydney time. The contract gained 0.4 percent to $98.29 yesterday, the highest close since July 30. The volume of all futures traded was about 39 percent below the 100-day average. Prices are little changed this year.
Brent for September settlement rose 18 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $105.59 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The European benchmark crude was at a premium of $7.20 to WTI. It closed at $7.12 yesterday.

Fuel Supplies

WTI declined 4.1 percent last week amid signs of weaker U.S. fuel demand. Gasoline supplies probably fell by 300,000 barrels to 217.9 million during the week ended Aug. 1, according to the median estimate of nine analysts surveyed by Bloomberg before the Energy Information Administration report. The country’s peak driving season typically runs from the end of May to Labor Day on Sept. 1.
U.S. crude inventories shrank by 1.5 million barrels to 365.9 million, the survey shows. Distillate stockpiles, a category that includes heating oil and diesel, expanded by 700,000 barrels.
The American Petroleum Institute is scheduled to release separate supply data today. The industry-funded group in Washington collects data on a voluntary basis from operators of refineries, bulk terminals and pipelines. The government requires that reports be filed with the EIA.

Mideast Unrest

Kurdish fighters recaptured Sinjar and Rabia’ah near the Syrian border after heavy fighting yesterday, according to the Kurdistan Democratic Party. At least 50 Islamic State militants were killed as security forces battled to regain the village of Wana, south of Mosul dam.
The conflict has spared supply from Iraq’s south, home to more than three-quarters of its crude output. The nation is the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ second-largest producer, pumping 3 million barrels a day in July.
In Libya, turmoil could have “negative ramifications on a global scale” if the country continues to spiral out of control, Abu Bakr Bueira, a senior lawmaker told the country’s newly elected parliament yesterday. The nation is the smallest OPEC producer and holds Africa’s biggest oil reserves. - Bloomberg

4 Aug 2014

WTI Trades Near Six-Month Low Before Economic Data; Brent Holds


                  West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in six months before data that will signal the strength of the economy in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.
Futures were little changed in New York after capping the biggest weekly decline in seven months on Aug. 1. The Markit Economics purchasing managers index for U.S. services is due tomorrow, while factory order data is also scheduled this week. In Iraq, militants took control of two oil fields in the north after clashes, according to the Northern Oil Co.
“There is no fear about supply,” said Ken Hasegawa, an energy trading manager at Newedge Group in Tokyo. “On technical charts, we saw big drops last week, and both WTI and Brent are down to one of the support levels. WTI is very close to $97.50 a barrel and Brent to $104 a barrel. If those levels hold, the market will rebound.”
WTI for September delivery was at $98 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 12 cents, at 1:15 p.m. Singapore time. The contract slid 0.3 percent to $97.88 on Aug. 1, the lowest close since Feb. 6. The volume of all futures traded was about 1.3 percent above the 100-day average. Prices are down 0.5 percent this year.
Brent for September settlement rose 21 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $105.05 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The European benchmark crude was at a premium of $7.08 to WTI. It closed at $6.96 on Aug. 1.

Fuel Demand

WTI declined 4.1 percent last week amid signs of weaker U.S. fuel demand. Gasoline supplies rose to the highest level in four months as average consumption of the fuel dropped to the lowest since May, even after the country’s peak driving season started with the Memorial Day holiday on May 26.
Markit’s final reading of a gauge for U.S. services is projected to be 60.8 in July, down from 61 in June, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Factory orders probably rose to 0.6 percent in June, a separate survey shows.
Hedge funds and other money managers trimmed their bullish bets on WTI, extending the drop from this year’s peak in June to 22 percent, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show. Net-long positions fell 1,375 to 276,741 futures and options combined in the week ended July 29, according to the CFTC.

Mideast Unrest

In Iraq, the Ain Zala and Batma oil fields are under full control of Islamic State, a breakaway al-Qaeda group, according to the state-run Northern Oil Co. Together they have an output of 30,000 barrels per day. The Sunni Islamist militants last month occupied the Qayyara field north of Baghdad.
Fighting has spared supply from Iraq’s south, home to more than three-quarters of its crude output. The nation is the second largest producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, pumping 3 million barrels a day in July.
In Libya, Britain dispatched its navy to evacuate its nationals as 22 other people were killed as a result of militia feuds near Tripoli’s international airport. The nation is the holder of Africa’s biggest oil reserves.

Crude oil futures - weekly outlook: August 4 - 8


                   
West Texas Intermediate oil futures tumbled to a six-month low on Friday, as concerns over U.S. demand for oil and fuel products like gasoline drove prices lower.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude oil for delivery in September fell to a session low of $97.09 a barrel on Friday, the weakest since February 5, before coming off the lows to settle at $97.88, down 0.3%, or 29 cents.
Nymex oil prices were likely to find support at $96.80, the low from February 5 and resistance at $99.85, the high from July 31.
The U.S. Department of Labor said Friday that non-farm payrolls rose by a seasonally adjusted 209,000 in July, below expectations for an increase of 233,000.
The unemployment rate ticked up to 6.2% last month from 6.1% in June. Analysts had expected the jobless rate to hold steady at 6.1% in July.
The disappointing jobs report dampened optimism over the strength of the labor market and reduced expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin to raise rates sooner than previously thought.
For the week, Nymex oil futures plunged 4.12%, or $4.21, the worst weekly decline since January.
U.S. oil futures lost more than $2-per-barrel on Thursday as bearish inventory data and heavy losses on Wall Street sent oil below the $100-level.
Weekly supply data showed that total motor gasoline inventories in the U.S. increased by 0.4 million barrels last week to 218.2 million, the highest level in four months.
The ongoing buildup in gasoline stocks during the peak summer driving season in the U.S. was seen as bearish for oil prices, amid speculation of slowing demand.
Data from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission released Friday showed that hedge funds and money managers decreased their bullish bets in New York-traded oil futures in the week ending July 29.
Net longs totaled 276,741 contracts as of last week, down 0.49% from net longs of 278,116 in the preceding week.
Elsewhere, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil for September delivery fell to a daily low of $104.39 a barrel on Friday, the weakest level since April 2, before settling at $104.84 by close of trade, down 1.11%, or $1.18.
The September Brent contract lost 3.27%, or $3.55, on the week, as global supplies were seen as ample despite ongoing violence in Iraq, Libya and Eastern Europe.
Meanwhile the spread between the Brent and the WTI crude contracts stood at $6.96 a barrel by close of trade on Friday, compared to $6.30 in the preceding week.
In the week ahead, investors will be focusing on the outcomes of a spate of central bank meetings, with the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, the Bank of England and the Reserve Bank of Australia all to hold monetary policy assessments. - investing.com

Natural gas futures - weekly outlook: August 4 - 8


                     U.S. natural gas futures lost more than 1% on Friday, as demand for the fuel was likely to remain limited after meteorologists predicted mild summer weather in much of the U.S. through the next few days.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas for delivery in September dropped 1.12%, or 4.3 cents, on Friday to settle the week at $3.798 per million British thermal units by close of trade.
Futures were likely to find support at $3.725 per million British thermal units, the low from July 28 and resistance at $3.890, the high from July 31.
Natural gas prices have been under heavy selling pressure in recent sessions after updated weather-forecasting models called for mild summer weather across much of the U.S. over the next several days.
Demand for natural gas tends to fluctuate in the summer based on hot weather and air conditioning use.
Despite Friday’s losses, Nymex natural gas prices tacked on 0.44%, or 1.7 cents, on the week, the first weekly gain in seven weeks.
Natural gas futures rallied almost 1.5% on Thursday after the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that natural gas storage in the U.S. rose by 88 billion cubic feet, below expectations for an increase of 93 billion cubic feet.
Total U.S. natural gas storage stood at 2.307 trillion cubic feet as of last week, narrowing the deficit to the five-year average to 21.7% from 23.5% a week earlier and down from a record 54.7% at the end of March.
The EIA's next storage report is slated for release on Thursday, August 7, with analysts expecting a build of 87 billion cubic feet for the week ending August 1.
Inventories rose by 90 billion cubic feet in the same week a year earlier, while the five-year average change is a build of 49 billion cubic feet.
Data from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission released Friday showed that hedge funds and money managers significantly decreased their bullish bets in natural gas futures in the week ending July 29.
Net longs totaled 16,060 contracts, down 42.1% from net longs of 27,748 in the previous week.
Elsewhere on the Nymex, U.S. crude oil for September delivery settled at $97.88 a barrel by close of trade on Friday, down 4.12%, or $4.21, on the week.
Meanwhile, heating oil for September delivery slumped 1.57% on the week to settle at $2.866 per gallon by close of trade Friday. - investing.com

1 Aug 2014

NYMEX crude prices down in Asia as deamnd lags global supply

crude tips

                      Crude oil prices continued to fall in Asia on Friday with demand seen lagging global supplies though geopolitical events offer a floor.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate Crude oil for delivery in September traded at $97.77 a barrel, down 0.41%, after hitting an overnight session low of $97.96 a barrel and a high of $99.84 a barrel.
Brent oil on ICE Futures Europe fell 0.5%, to $106.02 a barrel. Prices fell 5.6% this month and are down 4.3% so far this year.
OPEC countries pumped more oil in July than in June, according to Reuters data, which sent oil futures dropping on fears the world is awash in crude.
Reuters reported that supply from OPEC member states averaged 30.06 million barrels per day (bpd) in July, up from 29.92 million bpd in June.
Fears that conflicts in the Middle East were going to disrupt supply never panned out, which softened oil prices despite consensus that the global economy continues to recovery, the U.S. especially. - investing.com

31 Jul 2014

WTI Drops Below $100 as U.S. Fuel Supplies Rise; Brent Declines


                           West Texas Intermediate dropped for a fourth day and slipped below $100 as gasoline stockpiles rose and demand declined in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent decreased in London.
Futures fell as much as 1.1 percent in New York. Gasoline supplies expanded by 365,000 barrels last week to 218.2 million, the highest level in four months, the Energy Information Administration said yesterday. Average consumption shrank 0.5 percent over the past four weeks to thelowest since May, even as the country’s peak driving season started with the Memorial Day holiday on May 26.
“This should be a period of peak demand,” said Jonathan Barratt, the chief investment officer at Ayers Alliance Securities in Sydney. “The price action is telling us the world does not have an issue with the supply of crude. Oil at $100 is a big level, and I don’t think it will give it up so quickly.”
WTI for September delivery slid as much as $1.11 to $99.16 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $99.63 at 1:58 p.m. Singapore time. The contract fell 0.7 percent to $100.27 yesterday, the lowest close since July 15. The volume of all futures traded was about 7 percent above the 100-day average. Prices are down 5.5 percent in July, the most in nine months.
Brent for September settlement fell as much as 63 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $105.88 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The European benchmark crude was at a premium of $6.64 to WTI, from $6.24 yesterday.

Crude Stockpiles

WTI slid last week as gasoline stockpiles rose the most in six months to the highest level since March, fueling speculation of slowing demand. Consumption of the fuel during the past four weeks shrank to an average 8.95 million barrels a day, according to the EIA, the Energy Department’s statistical arm.
Crude inventories dropped 3.7 million barrels to 367.4 million in the week ended July 25, said the EIA. Supplies at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for WTI, decreased by 924,000 barrels to 17.9 million, the lowest since October 2008.
Stockpiles of distillates, a category that includes heating oil and diesel, expanded by 789,000 barrels to 126.7 million, the highest level since September 2013.

28 Jul 2014

Natural gas futures - weekly outlook: July 28 - August 1


            
                    U.S. natural gas futures ended Friday’s session close to an eight-month low, as demand for the fuel was likely to remain limited after meteorologists predicted mild summer weather in much of the U.S.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas for delivery in August tumbled 1.72%, or 6.6 cents, on Friday to settle at $3.781 per million British thermal units by close of trade.
Natural gas futures fell to $3.744 on Thursday, the lowest since November 26.
On the week, Nymex natural gas prices lost 4.3%, or 17.0 cents, the sixth consecutive weekly decline.
Futures were likely to find support at $3.741 per million British thermal units, the low from November 26 and resistance at $3.886, the high from July 24.
Natural gas prices have been under heavy selling pressure in recent sessions after updated weather-forecasting models called for cooler temperatures across most parts of the heavily-populated Midwest and Northeast regions over the next ten days.
Demand for natural gas tends to fluctuate in the summer based on hot weather and air conditioning use.
Prices rallied more than 2% on Thursday after the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that natural gas storage in the U.S. rose by 90 billion cubic feet, below expectations for an increase of 96 billion cubic feet.
The five-year average change for the week is an increase of 46 billion cubic feet.
Total U.S. natural gas storage stood at 2.219 trillion cubic feet as of last week, narrowing the deficit to the five-year average to 23.5%, down from a record 54.7% at the end of March.
Data from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission released Friday showed that hedge funds and money managers decreased their bullish bets in natural gas futures in the week ending July 22.
Net longs totaled 27,748 contracts, down 26.2% from net longs of 37,617 in the previous week.
Elsewhere on the Nymex, crude oil for September delivery settled at $102.09 a barrel by close of trade on Friday, up 0.13%, or 14 cents, on the week.
Meanwhile, heating oil for August delivery advanced 2.19% on the week to settle at $2.912 per gallon by close of trade Friday. - investing.com

Crude oil futures - weekly outlook: July 28 - August 1


           

                     Brent oil futures rallied to a one-week high on Friday, as investors continued to assess the geopolitical situation in Eastern Europe and in the Middle East.

On the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil for September delivery rose to a daily high of $108.46 a barrel on Friday, the most since July 18, before settling at $108.39 by close of trade, up 1.23%, or $1.32.
The September Brent contract advanced 1.06%, or $1.15, on the week, the second consecutive weekly gain.
Investors continued to closely watch an intensifying geopolitical crisis between Moscow and the West over the situation in Ukraine.
The Pentagon said Friday that Russia has escalated the violence in Ukraine and may be set to provide more sophisticated weapons to pro-Russian rebels in eastern Ukraine.
Russia is one of the world's top producers and exporters of oil and gas.
Meanwhile, fighting between Israel and Hamas showed little sign of abating, despite ongoing efforts by the U.S. to reach a ceasefire.
Market participants are worried that a flare up in the conflict could draw in neighboring countries and affect oil supplies.
Elsewhere, on the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude oil for delivery in September fell to a session low of $101.00 a barrel on Friday, the weakest since July 17, before coming off the lows to settle at $102.09, up 0.02%, or 2 cents.
U.S. oil prices were weighed by weekly supply data which showed that total motor gasoline inventories increased by 3.4 million barrels last week, above forecasts for a gain of 1.3 million barrels.
The larger than expected increase in gasoline stocks during the summer driving season in the U.S. was bearish for oil prices.
For the week, Nymex oil futures eased up 0.13%, or 14 cents, the second straight weekly gain.
Data from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission released Friday showed that hedge funds and money managers increased their bullish bets in New York-traded oil futures in the week ending July 22.
Net longs totaled 278,116 contracts as of last week, up 6.8% from net longs of 259,259 in the preceding week.
Meanwhile the spread between the Brent and the WTI crude contracts stood at $6.30 a barrel by close of trade on Friday, compared to $5.29 in the preceding week.
In the week ahead, investors will be focusing on Wednesday’s preliminary reading on U.S. second quarter growth, while Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report will also be in focus.
Wednesday’s Fed statement will also be closely watched for any indications that the central bank is moving closer to raising rates.
The Commerce Department on Friday reported a rise of 0.7% in orders of long lasting goods such as machinery and electronic products, compared to forecasts of 0.5%.
The data came a day after the U.S. Department of Labor said that the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending July 19 declined by 19,000 to hit an eight-year low of 284,000. - investing.com

25 Jul 2014

IMF Reduces Growth For US & China Lowering Implied Demand For Oil


                    On Thursday the International Monetary Fund has lowered its 2014 global economic growth forecast, warning of “negative surprises” from the United States and China and geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East. The IMF projected global growth of 3.4 per cent for this year, down from its April estimate of 3.7 per cent. In 2013, the world economy grew 3.2 percent. The downgraded 2014 growth outlook reflects “both the legacy of the weak first quarter, particularly in the United States, and a less optimistic outlook for several emerging markets,” the IMF said, in an update of its semiannual World Economic Outlook.
The downgrade weighed on implied demand for energy products. The brief update showed the IMF increasingly concerned by escalating geopolitical tensions. “Geopolitical risks have risen relative to April: risks of an oil price spike are higher due to recent developments in the Middle East while those related to Ukraine are still present,” the report said. Despite the worse-than-expected global growth outlook for 2014, the IMF left its 2015 forecast unchanged at an annual rate of 4.0 per cent, the fastest pace since 2011.
The lower growth rates weigh on commodity demands, but at the same time the increase in geopolitical concerns pushes the price of crude oil on worries over supply and production disruption. WTI slipped $1.05, or 1 percent, to end at $102.07. The volume of all futures traded was 23 percent below the 100-day average for the time of day. Brentdeclined 96 cents, or 0.9 percent, to close at $107.07 a barrel 
Crude Oil(15 minutes)20140725061209
West Texas Intermediate crude declined with gasoline as U.S. inventories of the motor fuel expanded for a third week, threatening to depress refining margins. Gasoline stockpiles grew by 3.38 million barrels last week and supplies around New York Harbor, where futures contracts are delivered, were at the highest seasonal level since 2008, Energy Information Administration data showed. Gasoline futures ended at the lowest price in almost six months. Gasoline futures for August delivery dropped 2.33 cents to $2.8368 a gallon on the Nymex, the lowest settlement since Feb. 28. Ultra low sulfur diesel dropped 0.45 cent to $2.8709.
Natural gas gained after the release of the weekly EIA inventory report. Gas climbed to trade at 3.847 adding 8 points this morning. The report showed a net increase of 90 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 561 Bcf less than last year at this time and 683 Bcf below the 5-year average of 2,902 Bcf with the total working gas below the 5-year historical range. - fxempire

24 Jul 2014

WTI Swings as Crude Stockpiles at Cushing Decline; Brent Steady

crude tips

                     West Texas Intermediate swung between gains and losses after U.S. government data showed crude supplies at the delivery point for New Yorkcontracts shrank to the lowest level since 2008. Brent was steady in London.
Futures were little changed in New York after rising 0.7 percent yesterday. Crude stockpiles at Cushing, Oklahoma, the biggest U.S. oil-storage hub, dropped by 1.45 million barrels to 18.8 million, the least since November 2008, according to an Energy Information Administration report. A measure of manufacturing in China, the world’s second-largest oil consumer, climbed to an 18-month high in July.
“The long-run story has not changed, global supply still looks healthy,” Barnabas Gan, an economist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. inSingapore, said by phone today. “The global growth tailwinds are expected to continue, and that does give oil investors a reason to see higher prices in the short term.”
WTI for September delivery was at $102.86 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, down 26 cents, at 3:22 p.m. Singapore time. The contract increased 73 cents to $103.12 yesterday. The volume of all futures traded was 20 percent above the 100-day average. Prices have advanced 4.5 percent this year.
Brent for September settlement was 22 cents lower at $107.81 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The European benchmark crude traded at a premium of $4.96 to WTI, compared with $4.91 yesterday.

Fuel Supplies

U.S. crude inventories nationwide fell by almost 4 million barrels to 371.1 million in the week ended July 18, said the EIA, the Energy Department’s statistical arm. Supplies were down for a fourth week, the longest run of declines since January. They were forecast to decrease by 2.9 million, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of nine analysts.
Gasoline stockpiles expanded by 3.38 million barrels, compared with a projected gain of 1 million. The peak U.S. driving season typically starts on Memorial Day, which came on May 26 this year, and runs through Labor Day on Sept. 1.
Distillate inventories, including heating oil and diesel, rose by 1.64 million barrels last week, the EIA report shows. An increase of 2 million was projected in the survey.
In China, a preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics was at 52, topping the median prediction of 51 in a separate Bloomberg survey and June’s final level of 50.7. Readings above 50 signal expansion.
The Asian country will account for about 11 percent of global oil demand this year, compared with 21 percent for the U.S., according to theInternational Energy Agency in Paris. - Bloomberg

23 Jul 2014

Gold And Crude Oil Show Unusual Reverse Divergence

gold wed

               Gold is trading at 1307.90 this morning a bit stronger in the Asian market as traders bought up the cheaper commodity after its steady decline this week. Gold added $1.90 this morning while silver is down 21 points at 20.987 and platinum moved with gold to add $1.70 to trade at 1491.80.  Silver was steady in early Wednesday trade after dipping overnight, but looked likely to hold above $1,300 an ounce as geopolitical tensions from crises in Ukraine and the Gaza strip brought safe-haven bids. Tensions eased on Tuesday after a train carrying the remains of some of the victims arrived in Ukrainian government territory and separatist leaders gave Malaysian authorities the aircraft’s flight recorders.
SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings rose 1.5 tonnes to 804.84 tonnes yesterday. Gold is expected to drift lower in the last half of 2014 leading to a second annual decline in the average price as US monetary policy returns to normal and Asian demand weakens. Gold prices are expected to trade in the red today as its safe haven appeal has shifted to the US dollar.
Base metals are trading on the down side this morning with Copper flat at 3.206. Broad fundamentals still suggest downside as we are seeing subdued demand from major consumer China. Yesterday updated Chinese exports of refined copper rose to the highest since March last year with a very small base. Exports rose as probe into warehousing at Qingdao Port undermines the appeal of holding inventories of the metal tied to financing.
In a surprise divergence, gold eased, the US dollar gained and crude oil continued to climb. Crude normally will follow the track of gold during geopolitical tensions and as a rule when the US dollar climbs oil falls as it becomes more expensive to buy in US dollars. This morning crude gave back 36 cents to trade at 102.03 but still remains well over its suggested and average trading range even as geopolitical turmoil moved back from the brink on Tuesday. Traders will be closely monitoring todays US inventory report. U.S. crude dropped to around $102 a barrel in early Asian trade this morning, falling for a second consecutive session with oil supplies unaffected by continuing violence in Iraq, Ukraine and Gaza. The American Petroleum Institute (API) data released on Tuesday showed that U.S. crude inventories fell 555,000 barrels last week to 374.7 million. In Libya, oil production had fallen to around 450,000 barrels per day (bpd) as of Monday compared with 555,000 bpd on Thursday. The drop comes as a twin suicide bombing at a Libyan army base in Benghazi killed at least four solders. The European Union threatened Russia on Tuesday with harsher sanctions over Ukraine that could inflict wider damage on its economy following the downing of a Malaysian airliner, but it delayed action for a few days. Brent oil is flat this morning at 107.22
crude oil wed

U.S. oil futures decline ahead of weekly supply data

crude tips


                  West Texas Intermediate oil futures declined on Wednesday, as investors awaited the release of weekly supply data out of the U.S. later in the session to gauge the strength of oil demand from the world’s largest consumer.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S. crude oil for delivery in September dipped 0.41%, or 41 cents, to trade at $101.98 a barrel during European morning hours. Futures held in a tight range between $101.80 and $102.34 a barrel.
U.S. oil futures ended Tuesday’s session down 0.46%, or 47 cents, to settle at $102.39 a barrel.
New York-traded oil futures were likely to find support at $101.48 a barrel, the low from July 21 and resistance at $103.45 a barrel, the high from July 22.
Wednesday’s government report was expected to show that U.S. crude oil stockpiles fell by 2.8 million barrels last week, while gasoline stockpiles were forecast to increase by 1.3 million barrels.
After markets closed Tuesday, the American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said that U.S. crude inventories fell by 555,000 barrels in the week ended July 18, compared to expectations for a decline of 2.6 million barrels.
The report also showed that gasoline stockpiles increased by 3.6 million barrels, while distillate stocks rose by 2.5 million barrels.
Elsewhere, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil for September delivery shed 0.13%, or 14 cents, to trade at $107.19 a barrel, as traders awaited new developments from Ukraine and the Middle East.
The European Union threatened Russia on Tuesday with harsher sanctions over Ukraine, while fighting in the Gaza Strip between Israeli security forces and Hamas militants continued. - investing.com

Oil smuggling finances Islamic State's new caliphate


              Islamic State militants seized four small oilfields when they swept through north Iraq last month and are now selling crude oil and gasoline from them to finance their newly declared "caliphate".
    Near the northern city of Mosul, the Islamic State has taken over the Najma and Qayara fields, while further south near Tikrit it overran the Himreen and Ajil fields during its two-day sweep through northern Iraq in mid-June.
The oilfields in Islamic State hands are modest compared to Iraq's giant fields near Kirkuk and Basra, which are under Kurdish and central government control. Most of the Islamic State-held oil wells - estimated by a Kurdish official to number around 80 - are sealed and not pumping.
But the monopoly over fuel in the territory it has captured gives the Islamic State leverage over other armed Sunni factions who could threaten its dominance in northern Iraq.
Iraqi officials say that in recent weeks the group has transported oil from Qayara to be processed by mobile refineries in Syria into low quality gasoil and gasoline, then brought back for sale in Mosul, a city of 2 million people.
    Larger shipments of crude, some of them from Najma, are also sold via smugglers to Turkish traders at vastly discounted prices of around $25 per barrel, they said.
    "We have confirmed reports showing that the Islamic State is shipping crude from Najma oilfield in Mosul into Syria to smuggle it to one of Syria's neighbors," said Husham al-Brefkani, head of Mosul provincial council's energy committee.
    "The Islamic State is making multi-million dollar profits from this illegal trade."
Petrol stations in Mosul are now selling fuel supplied by traders working with the Islamic State, which charges either $1.0 or $1.5 a liter depending on quality - a huge increase on previous prices, one petrol station owner in the city said.
    "The fuel is brought from Syria ... It’s triple the price before, but drivers have to buy it because subsidized government fuel was halted," he said.
    Brefkani said the Islamic State was the sole sponsor of the imports from Syria, where the group also controls oilfields in the Syrian province of Deir al-Zor. "They use part of it for their vehicles and sell the rest to their traders in Mosul."
    MILITANTS KEPT OILFIELD INTACT
    Najma and Qayara had been operated by Angola's state-owned firm Sonangol, but it pulled out last year declaring force majeure amid rising development costs and security concerns over Sunni militants in the area, even before last month's assault.
    Qayara, which has estimated reserves of 800 million barrels, had been producing 7,000 barrels per day of heavy crude before the Islamic State took over the field and a nearby 16,000 bpd refinery. Qayara refinery and second smaller plant at Kasak, northwest of Mosul, stopped operating when staff fled.
    But Qayara oilfield itself has kept pumping after the militants asked Iraqi employees to stay at their posts, promising to protect them - as they have done at most oil facilities in order to maintain production.
Iraqi official gave the example of the battle to seize Baiji refinery in the north, Iraq’s largest, where the Islamic States and other insurgents have been trying since mid-June to control the site without damaging its facilities.
    "(The Islamic State) were keen to keep energy installations inside Qayara intact. We did not realize why they did not destroy facilities, but a week later they started to fill the trucks with Qayara crude. They were planning from the beginning to profiteer the field," said an engineer who works at Qayara, speaking on condition of anonymity for fear of reprisals.
    Iraqi government sources said it was hard to assess how much money the group makes from selling crude or the fuel refined in Syria as the number of trucks fluctuates daily. One source said that a separate - and now terminated - smuggling operation into the Kurdish enclave and into Iran generated nearly $1 million a day earlier this month.
One dealer and shipping company owner in Mosul said he buys 250-barrel truckloads of crude from the militants for $6,000.
    "The next step depends on our cunning in dealing with the Turkish traders," he said.
    FROM TAXES TO NYMEX?
    As another revenue earner, the Islamic militant group levies taxes on all vehicles and trucks bringing goods into Mosul.
    A large truck must pay $400, while small trucks are charged $100 and cars $50 if they are also carrying goods.
    Ahmed Younis, a Baghdad expert on armed groups, said the Islamists were in effect establishing an economic state based on the increasing resources and infrastructure under their command.
    Considering its spread across the Syria-Iraq border, its grip over oilfields there and its growing economic activity, the Islamic State will "transform into an economic giant with assets of billions of dollars," he said.
    "In future, will they buy shares in NYMEX? Everything is possible," Younis said.
   TIKRIT OILFIELDS
    Further south Islamic State fighters control another two oilfields east of Tikrit, home town of Saddam Hussein.
    One of them, Ajil, produced 25,000 bpd of crude that were shipped to the Kirkuk refinery and 150 million cubic feet of gas per day piped to the government-controlled Kirkuk power station.
    The gas is still pumped - albeit at lower volume of about 100 million cubic feet daily - because, according to energy experts, Kirkuk power station supplies many towns in the region and the militants want to avoid energy shortages.
    The militants are moving only small amounts of oil from Ajil because of fears that their primitive extraction techniques could ignite the gas, according to an engineer at the site.
    The other small oilfield captured by the Islamic State is Himreen, with a capacity of 5,000-6,000 barrels per day from five operating oil wells.
    "The militants brought technicians from outside Tikrit to deal with crude from Himreen and they started to dig up craters and siphon crude out of the wells using small water irrigation pumps," said an oil ministry employee working at the field.
    An Iraqi security official said trucks used to smuggle crude from Ajil and Himreen into Iraqi Kurdistan and Iran. Kurdish peshmerga forces used to turn a blind eye.
    But Iraqi national security forces as well as the peshmerga began to halt the trade on July 12, he said. The army used helicopters to bomb trucks heading east from Tikrit, while Kurdish security forces seized trucks with smuggled crude crossing into territories under their control.
    "We have managed to destroy more than 50 trucks as of July 12," Iraqi counter-terrorism spokesman Sabah Nouri said. "Our helicopter strikes hit the smuggling process hard and cut a vital source of finance to the terrorists."
An oil ministry adviser estimated that in the first two weeks of July, before the operation was halted, the Islamic State made around $10 million - nearly $1 million a day.
The mayor of Tuz Khuramto, a town on the route between Tikrit, the Kurdish enclave and Iran, said the smuggling route had been shut down 10 days ago.

    "Before that, between 30 to 60 trucks moved into the Kurdish region, but now we can say number is zero," Shallal Abdul said. - www.reuters.com